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Monetary policy committee

  • Interest rate cut hopes fade after Bank of England decision

    Economics

    City investors have lowered expectations of multiple interest rate cuts later in the year after the Bank of England decided to reduce rates to 4.25 per cent.  Prior to the Bank’s decision on Thursday at 12.02 pm, markets priced in around three more cuts this year in predictions that would take interest rates to 3.5 [...]

  • Bank of England to delay interest rates decision – by two minutes

    Economics

    The Bank of England will delay the release of its latest decision on interest rates this Thursday – by two minutes.  The highly unusual change was made to accommodate a two-minute silence to commemorate Victory in Europe Day this week.  It means Brits will only be informed about the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)’s decision to [...]

  • When words matter more than numbers at the Bank of England

    Economics

    City analysts have pencilled in their predictions for Thursday. Here’s how almost all of them likely read. Interest rates will be cut to 4.25 per cent, the Bank of England’s inflation forecast for this year will exceed its two per cent target and President Trump’s tariffs will be highlighted as a detriment to UK growth. [...]

  • Mortgage borrowing surges ahead of stamp duty changes

    May 1, 2025

    Net borrowing or mortgages spiked by £9.7bn in March as house buyers looked to clinch deals before higher stamp duty taxes came into effect. Net borrowing levels exceeded £13bn, according to the Bank of England, as the rise compared to February beat market forecasts of £3.2bn.  EY ITEM Club’s Matt Swannell said the surge in [...]

  • Andrew Bailey: Tariffs could push inflation down

    April 24, 2025

    Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has suggested that President Trump’s tariffs will have a disinflationary effect on UK prices unless more retaliatory measures kick into effect.  In an interview with CNBC, Bailey said tariffs would slow down UK growth whatever happens but added he would be “encouraged” by a UK trade deal with the [...]

  • If the ONS can’t measure productivity, how are we meant to improve it?

    April 23, 2025

    The ONS's shortcomings are far from trivial, its bad maths is holding back the UK economy, writes Paul Ormerod.

  • Firms scramble to ‘protect bottom line’ amid low growth

    April 16, 2025

    Firms across the UK are putting in “hard work” to limit cost pressures and maintain profits amid low growth, one of the country’s biggest banks has said.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s aggressive tax hikes at her last Autumn Budget have piled higher employment costs on businesses large and small, threatening to kill off some companies by [...]

  • Bank of England’s postponement of bond sale is a ‘precaution’

    April 10, 2025

    The Bank of England’s decision to postpone the sale of long-dated bonds to after June following market volatility was a “precaution”, according to deputy governor Sarah Breeden.  President Donald Trump’s tariffs sent markets around the world into a state of panic as 30-year gilt yields surged to its highest level since 1998, pushing up borrowing [...]

  • Bank of England should be ‘more careful’ about rate cuts, say deputy governor

    April 10, 2025

    A Bank of England rate-setter has said that policymakers need to be “more careful” about cutting rates after years of high inflation, adding that it was “too soon to say” whether President Trump’s tariffs will weigh on price growth in the UK.  Sarah Breeden became the second official since Trump’s Rose Garden speech to take [...]

  • Four interest rate cuts this year pencilled in by markets

    April 7, 2025

    Markets are betting that the Bank of England will make up to four interest rate cuts this year, double what had been predicted in late March.  President Trump’s tariffs are set to drag UK growth back by up to one percentage point, according to various forecasters, while their impacts on inflation remain ambiguous, leading investors [...]

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